The latest data on asteroid 2024 YR4 has scientists confident that Earth is no longer in the bullseye. However the enormous ...

Asteroid 2024 YR4, roughly the size of a 15-story building, has a slim chance of striking the Moon in 2032, potentially ...

The impact probability describes how likely a hazardous asteroid is to hit Earth. For example, if the impact probability is 1%, it means that in 1 of 100 cases, it hits Earth.

If the asteroid hit the side of the moon facing Earth—which is roughly a 50% chance—up to 10% of this debris could be pulled in by Earth's gravity over the following days, they said.

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially considered a potential threat to Earth, is now more likely to hit the moon in 2032. The asteroid, about the size of a 10-story building, has a 4.3% chance of lunar ...