Asteroid 2024 YR4, roughly the size of a 15-story building, has a slim chance of striking the Moon in 2032, potentially ...

The latest data on asteroid 2024 YR4 has scientists confident that Earth is no longer in the bullseye. However the enormous ...

The impact probability describes how likely a hazardous asteroid is to hit Earth. For example, if the impact probability is 1%, it means that in 1 of 100 cases, it hits Earth.

If the asteroid hit the side of the moon facing Earth—which is roughly a 50% chance—up to 10% of this debris could be pulled in by Earth's gravity over the following days, they said.

On Feb. 24, NASA announced an official "all clear" on social media, reporting the impact probability had dropped to just 0.004% and that the asteroid is "expected to safely pass by Earth in 2032." ...